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Dishonest Paris climate pact unAustralian

Wednesday, January 06, 2016

With headlines, tweets and selfies, Malcolm Turnbull’s government signed the UN’s Paris climate ‘pact’ last month and Australians are now asking “what does it all mean for us?”

Yet the first and most important question is: do we need a UN climate ‘agreement’? The answer is in the empirical evidence—the observed, measured data—that decides science.

This article shares empirical facts from eight years investigating climate claims. These include CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) replies under Freedom Of Information laws; letters from the heads of CSIRO and BOM; letters from the UN climate panel’s senior authors; detailed analysis of CSIRO, BOM and UN climate reports; replies from academics who were questioned after being given millions of dollars of taxpayer ‘research’ grants while backing Labor-Greens-Liberal climate taxes; and, lessons from meetings with cabinet ministers.

To begin, we all agree that hydro-carbon fuels like natural gas, coal and oil contain hydrogen and carbon atoms that burn in oxygen to produce energy and make water and carbon dioxide. Both these products are natural plant food needed for life on our planet and are not pollution. Yet the UN tells us carbon dioxide gas is dangerously warming our planet.

BOM and CSIRO responses to Freedom of Information requests show that across the Howard-Rudd-Gillard-Milne governments from 2005 to 2013 no member of parliament was given evidence that carbon dioxide from humans affects climate.

No letter from BOM and CSIRO bosses and no BOM, CSIRO or UN climate report contains evidence proving that carbon dioxide from human activity affects climate.

Why not? Firstly, the hard data shows that in the last 160 years the longest trend was 40 years of … cooling, from the late 1930’s to 1976. In that time industry grew during World War 2 and the post-war boom releasing higher amounts of carbon dioxide yet temperature went down.

Secondly, despite record growth in the last 20 years due to China and India there has been no warming. In the last 80 years data shows 40 years of cooling, then 19 years of very modest warming and now 20 years of no warming. Clearly, human industry and carbon dioxide have no effect on temperature.

Thirdly, the world’s longest thermometer record since 1659 is the Central England Temperature. More than 350 years of data show natural cooling-warming-cooling cycles. There is no evidence of unusual temperature.

The data shows that over the last 100 years there has been no change in droughts, floods, snowfall, rainfall, cyclones, storms, … despite some media telling us the opposite. There’s nothing happening with temperature or climate.

Next, turn to carbon dioxide and the data that the UN uses. To understand what’s happening add the facts that oceans cover almost three quarter’s of earth’s surface and are up to 11 kilometres deep. 

Carbon dioxide dissolves easily in water and the UN admits that oceans naturally contain 50 times the carbon dioxide in the air. As water warms, it holds less gas and that releases carbon dioxide to the air. As water cools it absorbs gas from air.

Southern seas cover 50 per cent more area than northern seas and this means that in our winter the southern sea surface cools and absorbs huge amounts of carbon dioxide. UN data shows this greatly lowers the amount in earth’s air even though global human production is about the same all year.

During our summer, southern sea surfaces release huge quantities of carbon dioxide. Nature alone controls its level in air.

Seasonally changes in the amount of carbon dioxide in air are a result of changes in temperature. Ice core data shows the same for the long-term trend: changes in the amount of carbon dioxide in air do not cause temperature change, they are a result of temperature change. This is the opposite of the Lib-Lab-Greens-UN claim.

The amount of carbon dioxide from humans cannot affect its level because temperature controls the gas’s flow between ocean and air. If all industry stopped, it would have no material effect on carbon dioxide levels because nature would simply release a little more from the oceans to keep the balance set by temperature that is controlled by the sun. If humans increased production of the gas, it would not affect the level in air.

Taxing carbon dioxide cannot and will not affect climate. Taxing hurts people and jobs for no reason. Taxing a trace gas that cannot affect climate takes resources away from real and serious human and environmental challenges.

We don’t need a foreign climate pact. We need a return to honesty in science and truth in politics. Instead of selfies, social media and popularity polls, we need strong, honest leadership based on facts. Trust will help all Australians to rebuild our country as one nation.

Read the next article here.

By Malcolm Roberts

Malcolm Roberts is an honours engineering graduate from the university of Queensland working internationally as a management and leadership consultant on culture change and understanding data to improve human performance. and



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